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EconomicsEnds: Dec 31, 2025

US recession in 2025?

Yes

62%

38%

Overall Volume: $2m

SportsEnds: Apr 7, 2025

2025 NCAA Tournament Winner

Florida

51%

Houston

49%

Overall Volume: $21m

PoliticsEnds: Oct 31, 2025

Next Prime Minister of Canada after the election?

Mark Carney

72%

Pierre Poilievre

29%

Overall Volume: $35m

EconomicsEnds: May 15, 2025

Fed decision in May?

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

20%

Overall Volume: $15m

TechnologyEnds: Dec 31, 2025

Who will acquire TikTok?

Oracle

28%

Larry Ellison

27%

Overall Volume: $2m

TechnologyEnds: May 1, 2025

Will TikTok be banned again before May?

Yes

39%

61%

Overall Volume: $1m

SportsEnds: Jul 15, 2025

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs Lopes

Volkanovski

57%

Lopes

43%

Overall Volume: $468k

EconomicsEnds: Dec 31, 2025

How many Fed rate cuts in 2025?

1 (25 bps)

Overall Volume: $5m

EconomicsEnds: Dec 31, 2025

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

Yes

21%

79%

Overall Volume: $102k

PoliticsEnds: Jul 1, 2025

Elon out of Trump administration before July?

Yes

31%

69%

Overall Volume: $478k

GeopoliticsEnds: Jul 1, 2025

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Yes

27%

73%

Overall Volume: $176k

TechnologyEnds: May 1, 2025

TikTok sale announced before May?

Yes

17%

83%

Overall Volume: $582k

GeopoliticsEnds: Jul 1, 2025

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Yes

22%

78%

Overall Volume: $6m

GeopoliticsEnds: Jul 1, 2025

US military action against Iran before July?

Yes

26%

74%

Overall Volume: $110k

EconomicsEnds: Apr 30, 2025

US GDP growth in Q1 2025?

>2%

2% - 1%

24%

Overall Volume: $231k

PoliticsEnds: May 1, 2025

Will Trump remove tariff on China before May?

Yes

97%

Overall Volume: $82k

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